Bitcoin stabilizes around $90k ahead of FOMC meeting: Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • BTC is down 1.35% and is trading around $90,500.
  • The leading cryptocurrency has stabilized ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.

BTC stays above $90k ahead of the Fed rate decision

Bitcoin began the week bullish, hitting the $93k level on Monday. However, it has lost 1% of its value in the last 24 hours and is now trading above $90k. 

The mixed performance comes as traders look forward to tomorrow’s Fed rate decision. The Federal Reserve is expected to reduce its benchmark lending rate by a minimum of 25 basis points. 

The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, released last Friday, did little to influence expectations for further policy easing by the apex bank. 

In addition to that, institutional demand for Bitcoin-related funds shows a decline in selling pressure compared to previous weeks. Data obtained from SoSoValue revealed that S-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a mild outflow of $60.48 million on Monday.

Bitcoin’s recovery could be determined by the ETF inflow as institutions play a crucial role in boosting demand. 

Finally, Michael Saylor’s Strategy announced on Monday that it had acquired 10,624 bitcoin for $962.7 million between December 1–7 at an average price of $90,615. Thanks to this acquisition, the company now holds 660,624 BTC, valued at $49.35 billion. 

Bitcoin could rally towards $97k

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as Bitcoin has performed positively in recent days. The cryptocurrency faced rejection from the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level at $94,253 last week, dropping to the $88k level during the weekend.

However, it recovered above $92k on Monday before declining to now trade above $90,500 per coin. 

BTC/USD 4H Chart

If the rally continues and the daily candle closes above the $93k resistance, BTC could extend its bullish movement toward the next key resistance at $100,000.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is 44, near the neutral 50 level, suggesting fading bearish momentum. However, the RSI needs to move past the neutral level if Bitcoin will surmount the $93k resistance level. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover last week, which still holds, supporting a bullish bias.

However, if the bullish recovery fails, Bitcoin could revisit the support level around the $85,569 region.

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Standard Chartered expands into tokenised gold with Libeara in Singapore

  • Libeara developed the fund with FundBridge Capital for Singapore’s market.
  • Standard Chartered is expanding digital-asset activity through SC Ventures.
  • A separate physically backed gold fund was recently launched in Singapore.

Institutional investors in Singapore are being offered a new digital route into gold exposure as Standard Chartered broadens its presence in tokenised assets through Libeara’s MG 999 fund.

The product arrives during a period of rising demand for safe-haven assets, shaped by geopolitical tension, shifting currency expectations, and tariff moves under President Donald Trump.

The fund blends a synthetic link to gold prices with a lending feature designed for jewellery retailers in the city-state.

With interest in real-world asset tokenisation growing across global markets, MG 999 reflects how traditional financial groups are testing new digital structures without altering core investment themes.

The approach broadens investor access while encouraging further experimentation across evolving digital asset markets globally.

Tokenised access

Libeara developed the MG 999 fund with FundBridge Capital to give professional investors exposure to gold in the form of blockchain-based tokens.

Each token is designed to track the spot price of gold on Libeara’s ledger.

The fund removes the need for vaulting or transport but still aims to reflect market performance, creating a synthetic alternative to physical bullion.

FundBridge has described the structure as a way to connect regulated fund design with digital systems while keeping governance at the level expected for institutional products.

Institutional shift

The fund is open only to institutional and accredited investors. MG 999 is different from physical gold funds because it does not store metal.

Instead, it uses a token mechanism engineered to mirror market movement.

Standard Chartered’s involvement fits into broader expansion in Asia through SC Ventures, which also holds majority stakes in Zodia Custody and Zodia Markets.

These platforms focus on institutional digital-asset access, strengthening the bank’s position in real-world asset tokenisation as the sector gains momentum across treasuries, bonds, funds, and commodities.

Global demand conditions

The launch comes at a time when central banks have been increasing gold reserves. Market watchers have linked this trend to concerns about the long-term role of the US dollar and a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty.

Experts have also cited Trump’s tariff policies as a driver of interest in safe-haven assets.

Last month, Standard Chartered joined other firms in launching a physically backed gold product in Singapore.

In that fund, the bank acts as custodian for bullion stored at the Le Freeport facility near Changi Airport. That offering targets investors wanting allocated metal rather than tokenised exposure.

Jewellery market lending

MG 999 also includes a lending element tied to Singapore’s jewellery sector.

Mustafa Gold has been named as the first borrower. The structure lets the retailer use its jewellery inventory as collateral while keeping the pieces available for customers.

Libeara and FundBridge say this design shows how tokenisation can connect investment products with working-capital needs in traditional retail markets, expanding digital use cases beyond asset tracking alone.

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Hyperliquid dips below the $28 support. Will it bounce back soon?

Key takeaways

  • HYPE is down 8% in the last 24 hours and has dropped below $28.
  • Open Interest (OI) declines as retail interest continues to drop.

HYPE dips below the $28 support

HYPE, the native coin of the Hyperliquid decentralized exchange, is down 8% in the last 24 hours, making it the worst performer among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

The bearish performance comes as Bitcoin and the other major cryptocurrencies underperform. HYPE could decline towards the $20 psychological level amid a consolidating market. 

HYPE’s bearish performance comes as the coin is losing retail interest due to the current market conditions. Traders are anticipating a rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Monday, but that hasn’t propped up interest in Hyperliquid.

According to CoinGlass, HYPE’s futures Open Interest (OI) is down 5.91% in the last 24 hours to $1.44 billion. The decline suggests a significant liquidity loss in HYPE derivatives as traders adopt a wait-and-watch strategy.

In addition to that, the long liquidations since Monday topped $1.2 million, surpassing short liquidations of $88,160.

HYPE could dip to $20 if the selloff continues

The HYPE/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Hyperliquid has lost 8% of its value in the last 24 hours. The coin is currently trading below $28, breaking the support around $29.37.

HYPE/USD 4H Chart

If the bearish trend continues, HYPE’s daily candle could close below the resistance level at $26.03. An extended selloff will bring the October 10 low of $20.84 into focus. 

The RSI of 29 shows that HYPE is currently in the oversold territory and could record further losses in the near term. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates a rise in bearish momentum, with sellers currently in control of the market. 

If the bulls retake control of the market, HYPE could reclaim the $30 psychological level before rallying towards the resistance trendline near $34.00.

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Polymarket accused of alleged double-counted volume in most public data

  • Recent research shows Polymarket trades are double-counted on most public dashboards.
  • The issue stems from redundant maker-taker events in smart contracts.
  • According to the allegations, the actual volumes are roughly half of what dashboards report.

Polymarket, the prominent prediction market platform, is facing scrutiny after research by Storm Slivkoff suggested that the platform’s reported trading volumes may be systematically inflated across most public analytics dashboards.

The controversy has drawn attention from industry experts, data analysts, and market participants, raising questions about how trading activity is measured and reported in decentralised prediction markets.

Polymarket gives separate OrderFilled events for makers and takers

The research by Storm Slivkoff, a partner at Paradigm, which was later highlighted by Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang, has identified a technical discrepancy in Polymarket’s on-chain smart contract data.

According to Slivkoff, the platform emits separate OrderFilled events for both the maker and taker sides of each trade.

While each event is individually accurate, most public dashboards aggregate all events indiscriminately, effectively counting the same trade twice.

A simple transaction demonstrates the problem. One trade of YES tokens for $4.13 generated two identical events for the same amount, which dashboards then summed to report $8.26 in trading volume.

Slivkoff noted that this bug affects both notional volume (the number of contracts traded) and cashflow volume (the dollar value exchanged), thereby inflating every trade’s representation.

Notably, the error is unrelated to wash trading and results purely from the way Polymarket’s contracts emit data.

Polymarket refutes the volume double-counting claims

Polymarket’s internal team quickly pushed back against the allegations, asserting that the official site reports taker-side volume without double-counting, in line with standard industry practices.

The platform has emphasised that the issue primarily impacts third-party dashboards, which rely on raw event data from smart contracts without implementing corrections for redundant entries.

Notably, several major data providers, including DefiLlama, Allium Labs, and Blockworks, have confirmed they are updating their dashboards to account for the discrepancy.

Some data providers have, however, defended current methodologies, noting that more sophisticated dashboards had accounted for the distinction since 2024 but had not formally documented their approach.

Other data providers have criticised Paradigm for potential bias, as the firm holds investments in Kalshi, a competing US-based prediction market.

The broader market implications

Beyond the immediate question of reported volume, the controversy underscores broader challenges in accurately measuring activity on prediction market platforms.

Low-priced contracts can create disproportionately large notional volumes relative to actual capital at risk, making traditional volume metrics potentially misleading.

Experts have suggested that metrics such as open interest and fee revenue may offer a clearer picture of platform activity.

The timing of the revelation is also notable, coinciding with Polymarket’s plans for a full US relaunch following CFTC regulatory approval and an anticipated valuation of $12 billion to $15 billion.

The platform is also exploring an internal market-making operation that could trade against customers, raising further scrutiny and comparison to competitors like Kalshi.

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