Der steigende Bitcoin-Kurs könnte einigen Anlegern das Gefühl geben, den Anschluss verpasst zu haben. Cosmo Jiang von Pantera sagt, dass es noch nicht zu spät für einen Einstieg ist.
Economist Timothy Peterson puts Bitcoin price forecast at $140,000 by end of this month
- Timothy Peterson’s market simulation shows a 50% chance Bitcoin hits $140K in October.
- Bitcoin recently hit $126K, needing a 14.7% rise to reach $140K.
- Other analysts, however, note likely short-term pullbacks before potential sustained gains.
Economist Timothy Peterson has projected that Bitcoin could reach $140,000 before the end of October, citing data-driven simulations that indicate a 50% probability of the world’s largest cryptocurrency closing the month above that mark.
The analysis, grounded in more than a decade of Bitcoin’s historical price behaviour, suggests that half of the cryptocurrency’s potential October gains may already have occurred.
Data-driven prediction, not speculation
Peterson’s projection, shared on X on October 7, 2025, was based on “hundreds of simulations” using Bitcoin’s daily price data since 2015.
“There is a 50% chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140K,” he wrote, adding that there is a 43% chance it could finish below $136,000.
According to Peterson, the forecast is purely statistical, not influenced by sentiment or subjective opinion.
He emphasised that the results were “based purely on real data, not human emotion or biased opinion,” designed to reflect Bitcoin’s historical volatility and cyclical rhythm.
At the time of his analysis, Bitcoin was trading at around $122,000, having cooled slightly after setting a new all-time high of $126,200 earlier in the week.
Reaching $140,000 would require a roughly 14.7% gain from current levels, a move that aligns closely with Bitcoin’s average October performance over the past decade.
Historical data from CoinGlass shows that October has been Bitcoin’s second-best month since 2013, typically delivering gains of about 20.75%.
October’s historical significance for Bitcoin
Peterson explained that “Bitcoin’s performance in October isn’t ‘set up’ by September, it’s set up throughout the entire year.”
Bitcoin’s performance in October isn’t „set up“ by September, its set up throughout the entire year.
This chart plots Jan–Sept returns vs. October returns since 2015. The stronger Bitcoin performs through the first nine months, the stronger October tends to be. October has… pic.twitter.com/MLtqz5znkD
— Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) October 2, 2025
The economist linked Bitcoin’s seasonal strength to broader financial patterns, such as the end of third-quarter portfolio rebalancing, the start of fiscal year planning, and the approach of year-end reporting windows for investment funds.
These factors, he suggested, create favourable conditions for renewed capital inflows into Bitcoin and other risk assets.
While Peterson’s model offers a probability-based outlook, he cautioned that markets do not always conform perfectly to historical patterns.
Bitcoin’s past behaviour has occasionally diverged from expectations even when data indicated high confidence levels.
Nonetheless, he maintains that the model provides a “clear, probability-based picture” of where Bitcoin’s value is most likely to move in the short term.
Market sentiment leans bullish
Peterson’s forecast comes as market sentiment around Bitcoin remains generally optimistic.
Crypto analysts such as Jelle and Matthew Hyland have echoed bullish outlooks in recent days, highlighting Bitcoin’s successful retest of previous highs and suggesting that momentum could push prices further upward.
Earlier this week, Jelle posted, “It’s definitely over for bears. Send it higher,” while Hyland noted that “the pressure is building.”
However, not all voices in the market are calling for an immediate surge.
Analyst Ardi, known for his technical commentary, pointed out that Bitcoin often experiences a short-term pullback of around 5% after hitting new all-time highs.
Such moves, Ardi said, are typically followed by a period of choppiness and consolidation—a pattern that could play out again before any sustained rally.
$BTC loves to dump ~5% after it hits new ATHs, normally followed by a period of chop and consolidation.
Rest of the market most likely chops with it. pic.twitter.com/iZMqaUV6Qc
— Ardi (@AltcoinArdi) October 8, 2025
Technical outlook supports Bitcoin’s upward potential
Technical indicators also appear to support a bullish bias in the near term.
According to market analysis, Bitcoin’s key support level stands at $120,899, with immediate resistance at $124,148 and a higher target of $126,021.
The cryptocurrency is currently trading above all major exponential moving averages (10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs), signalling strong upward momentum.
Projections are that Bitcoin could reach around $121,633 in the coming days, with longer-term forecasts setting ambitious price targets of $221,485 for 2025.
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NYSE-listed CleanCore Solutions adds 710M Dogecoin to its treasury
- CleanCore currently holds 710M DOGE worth about $174M after recent purchases.
- The company targets 1B DOGE using a disciplined treasury strategy.
- Partnership with Bitstamp by Robinhood ensures transparency and security.
CleanCore Solutions, Inc. (NYSE American: ZONE) has revealed that it has added over 710 million Dogecoin to its official corporate treasury.
The company’s growing digital asset reserve marks a significant step toward its ambitious target of holding 1 billion Dogecoin.
With this latest accumulation, CleanCore’s holdings are valued at approximately $173.9 million, based on Dogecoin’s current price of around $0.2455.
According to the company’s statement, the accumulation has been supported through a partnership with Bitstamp by Robinhood, which provides a regulated and transparent trading platform for the firm’s Dogecoin transactions.
A disciplined approach to its Dogecoin vision
CleanCore launched its official Dogecoin Treasury in early September, after raising about $175 million through a private placement.
The company has described its acquisition plan as disciplined and phased, focusing not only on growing its holdings but also on improving its market capitalisation relative to its net asset value (mNAV).
CEO Clayton Adams emphasised that CleanCore’s strategy aligns closely with the long-term vision of the Dogecoin Foundation and its corporate arm, House of Doge.
He said the firm’s approach “goes beyond a simple NAV play,” focusing instead on expanding Dogecoin’s utility and supporting broader adoption as a global digital asset.
And to execute its treasury strategy effectively, CleanCore has entered into a strategic alliance with Bitstamp USA, designating Bitstamp by Robinhood as its primary trading venue.
The partnership is designed to enhance transparency, safeguard token holdings, and ensure secure treasury operations.
CleanCore’s leadership believes these partnerships are key to building a sustainable and compliant framework for corporate digital asset management.
The company has also highlighted that friends, family, and House of Doge insiders hold a significant portion of its registered shares, which remain restricted or locked up.
In addition, CleanCore is working closely with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to register the private placement shares while keeping a close eye on short interest in its stock.
Focusing on long-term value and responsible scaling
Despite recent market volatility, CleanCore has reaffirmed its commitment to scaling its treasury responsibly.
The company’s strategy focuses on transparency, resilience, and sustainable growth, aiming to strengthen shareholder value while maintaining financial flexibility.
CleanCore’s current holdings include more than $20 million in unrealised gains, and management says it retains enough liquidity to continue acquiring Dogecoin.
Industry analysts, however, remain divided on the importance of mNAV as a measure of a company’s health in the digital asset space.
Greg Cipolaro, global head of research at NYDIG, recently argued that mNAV overlooks firms with broader business operations beyond simply holding crypto assets.
Meanwhile, Standard Chartered has warned that smaller crypto treasury firms may face risks of overexposure, predicting possible consolidation in the sector if mNAV levels stay low.
Market reaction and outlook
Following the announcement, CleanCore’s stock closed Tuesday down 8.44% at $2.06, with a slight recovery in after-hours trading to $2.09.
While some investors appear cautious about the company’s exposure to digital assets, others view the Dogecoin treasury as a forward-looking step that could enhance long-term value if Dogecoin adoption continues to rise.
For Dogecoin (DOGE), the news has had little to no impact on its bearish market sentiment.
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.2461 on CoinMarketCap, down 5.32% over the last 24 hours and almost erasing all of last month’s gains.
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XRP cedes 4th position to BNB. Will it recover soon? Check forecast
Key takeaway
- Ripple’s XRP is down 4.6% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $2.9.
- It has lost its position in the market to BNB, with Binance’s native token now the third-largest crypto by market cap.
XRP dips below $2.9 as BNB overtakes it on the CMC list
XRP, the native coin of the Ripple ecosystem, has been underwhelming in recent days. It has been outperformed by BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL over the past few days. The poor performance has seen it fail to overcome the $3.0 resistance level.
At press time, XRP is down 4.6% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $2.84 per coin. With a market cap of $170 billion, XRP has given up its position in the market to Binance’s BNB token.
BNB has been rallying in recent weeks, hitting an all-time high of $1,336 on Tuesday. This allowed BNB to overtake XRP and Tether’s USDT to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, only behind Ether and Bitcoin.
XRP could bounce back soon, with analysts expecting the coin to rally towards the $5 psychological mark before the end of the year.
XRP risks a decline to $2.71 if the bearish trend continues
The XRP/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish and efficient despite XRP’s recent poor performance. The coin experienced $22.3 million in futures liquidations over the past 24 hours, with long traders recording the biggest loss.
The dip to $2.84 comes after XRP saw a rejection at the descending trendline resistance, which extends from July 21. The coin has now plunged below the convergence of the 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
If the bearish trend continues, XRP could dip towards the $2.71 support over the next few hours. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44 means that sellers are currently in control, with the MACD lines also dropping into the negative territory.
However, if the bulls recover and push XRP towards the $3.1 resistance level, they would need the support of the broader crypto market to target the August high of $3.38. Hitting that level could allow XRP to surpass its 2025 high of $3.66 in the medium term.
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BNB-Kurs erreicht ATH: Diese Rolle spielte Chainlink dabei
BNB hat mit über 1.200 US-Dollar ein neues Rekordhoch erreicht. Der Anstieg zeigt: Die Binance Smart Chain wächst weiter – und zwar durch echte Nutzung.