Monat: September 2025

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Bitcoin could stabilize as dominance level drops; Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • BTC has been trading around $111k and could stabilize soon to allow altcoins to rally.
  • The Bitcoin dominance level has dropped to 55 amid growing altcoin demand.

BTC stagnates at $111k as altcoin demand grows

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, has been trading around $111k over the past two days. This performance comes despite altcoins rallying higher, with Ether now approaching $4,500 after adding over 1% to its value.

However, Bitcoin’s stagnation comes with a decline in its dominance level. Bitcoin dominance has declined from its 62% peak to 55%, an indication that investors could be shifting funds from Bitcoin to altcoins.

Bitcoin dominance measures Bitcoin’s market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap. This metric helps investors determine if Bitcoin is favored at a particular period or if altcoins are the preferred investments.

In an email to Coinjournal, Sergei Gorev, Head of Risk, YouHodler, stated that historically, the dynamics of the BTC price have usually caught up with the dynamics of M2 growth. Gorev added that,

Perhaps this divergence is caused by the local summer vacation period, and, with the beginning of the autumn business season, the price of BTC may straighten again. In our opinion, the strengthening of the position of second-tier coins is quite long-term. Firstly, this is due to the market redistribution of profits of early investors in BTC, and secondly, in the future, the creation of crypto reserves may occur in the most liquid crypto projects, which can attract a wide range of corporate investors willing to invest billions of dollars. We think the next interesting market ideas could be SOL and XRP.

BTC still targets $113k despite declining dominance level

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart has seen an improvement compared to the bearish price action in August. The technical indicators have started switching positive, with the RSI of 59 showing that sellers are no longer in control.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

If the recovery continues, BTC could look to overcome the 4-hour resistance level and TLQ at $113,487. A breakout above this level would enable BTC to reclaim the $117k resistance with ease.

However, with the market still jittery, BTC could face a downward correction and drop to the Monday low of $107,250.

The post Bitcoin could stabilize as dominance level drops; Check forecast appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Crypto update: Why Bitcoin is stalling while Ethereum eyes a breakout

  • A major split is emerging between Bitcoin and Ethereum in the market.
  • Bitcoin is acting as a macro hedge, holding steady around $112,000.
  • Traders are actively positioning for upside in Ethereum, eyeing $5,000.

A profound and telling split has fractured the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin, the long-reigning king, has settled into a stoic holding pattern, a defensive fortress against the gathering storms of macroeconomic uncertainty.

But the real action, the aggressive positioning for explosive growth, is happening in a different court.

A great rotation is underway, and traders are increasingly placing their bets on a new champion to lead the charge into September: Ethereum.

The fortress: Bitcoin as a macro hedge

Bitcoin is currently stuck in consolidation, trading near $112,000. But its lack of upward momentum is, paradoxically, part of its emerging narrative.

It is increasingly being treated not as a speculative growth asset, but as a steady macro hedge, a digital counterpart to gold.

This view is being driven by the deep uncertainty emanating from Washington.

In a recent note, QCP Capital wrote that persistent doubts about the Federal Reserve’s independence are keeping risk premiums elevated, a dynamic that weakens the dollar and directly supports hedges like Bitcoin and gold.

The options market tells a similar story of defense.

Flowdesk reported muted implied volatility in Bitcoin, suggesting traders are positioning for stability, not a breakout.

The skew remains negative, meaning puts are expensive—a clear sign that the market is paying a premium for downside protection.

The spearhead: Ethereum as the engine of ascent

While Bitcoin holds the defensive line, Ethereum is being positioned as the market’s spearhead. This is where traders see the real potential for a September breakout.

The data is clear: ETH risk reversals have recovered sharply from their recent selloff, indicating a renewed and aggressive demand for upside exposure.

Prediction markets are validating this theme with real-money bets. Polymarket sentiment shows traders expect Bitcoin to remain capped near $120,000, while giving Ethereum a strong chance of breaking the coveted $5,000 mark.

This view is consistent with its powerful 20 percent rally over the past month and the surging institutional interest being funneled through ETF inflows.

The widening rebellion

This rotation is not just a two-horse race. The renewed appetite for risk is broadening, with capital flowing into a wider array of altcoins. Solana (SOL) options have seen a surge in activity, with flows heavily skewed to the upside.

At the same time, spot activity has rotated into so-called “ETH beta” names like AAVE and AERO, as well as “SOL betas” like RAY and DRIFT.

This is a crucial sign that market breadth is improving, as conviction spreads beyond the majors.

The market is sending a clear, if complex, signal. The macro chaos is reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and institutional decay.

But the momentum, the capital flows, and the speculative energy are all gathering in the court of its challenger.

The stage is set for a fascinating and potentially volatile September, where the fortress and the spearhead will finally have their mettle tested.

Market updates:

BTC: Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase around the $110,000–$112,000 range, marked by waning short‑term volatility.

ETH: ETH is trading near $4,400. Its rally is being fuelled by surging institutional interest, especially via ETF inflows, and anticipation surrounding the upcoming Fusaka network upgrade.

Gold: Gold is trading around record highs, propelled by expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut (markets now price in about a 92% chance), weakening confidence in Fed independence, and increased demand from conviction buyers like ETFs and central banks.

The post Crypto update: Why Bitcoin is stalling while Ethereum eyes a breakout appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Polymarket secures regulatory clearance to relaunch in the US

  • Polymarket wins CFTC no-action letter, clearing path to relaunch in US markets.
  • DOJ and CFTC probes closed, removing key hurdles for Polymarket’s US return.
  • Polymarket to rival Kalshi as a regulated US prediction market exchange.

Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market platform, has gained the necessary regulatory approvals to begin operations in the United States.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a no-action letter, clearing the way for the exchange to move forward after years of regulatory hurdles and investigations.

CFTC grants key approval

The CFTC’s no-action letter, announced Wednesday, allows Polymarket to avoid swaps data reporting and record-keeping obligations.

Such exemptions are standard practice for prediction markets, where contracts are based on event outcomes ranging from economic indicators and election results to sporting events.

Without the letter, compliance costs tied to transaction reporting could have been significant, potentially undermining Polymarket’s ability to operate profitably in the US.

“The green light to go live in the USA,” Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan wrote on X following the announcement.

The exchange has been steadily moving toward reentry into the US market, having acquired QCX earlier this year.

QCX had previously secured CFTC approval for its exchange application in July, setting the stage for Polymarket to expand under a regulated framework.

Background of investigations

Polymarket’s US ambitions had been delayed following regulatory scrutiny dating back to 2022.

That year, the platform faced a consent decree with the CFTC, which limited its ability to serve American users.

Questions later arose over whether Polymarket continued to allow US-based traders onto its platform despite these restrictions, prompting investigations from both the CFTC and the Department of Justice (DOJ).

Both agencies have since closed their probes, removing a significant overhang on Polymarket’s operations.

The latest regulatory clearance, coupled with the earlier acquisition of QCX, marks a turning point for the company as it repositions itself in the US market.

Competitive landscape

By reestablishing its presence in the US, Polymarket joins a growing list of CFTC-regulated exchanges vying for market share in the prediction market space.

Its competitors include Kalshi, which already operates legally in the US, and broader crypto platforms such as Crypto.com, which have signaled interest in event-based contracts.

The prediction market model has drawn attention in recent years as investors, traders, and the general public look for innovative ways to speculate on real-world outcomes.

With regulatory clarity now in place, Polymarket is positioned to attract both institutional and retail interest, provided it can scale its offerings while staying compliant with US oversight.

For Polymarket, the latest approval represents more than just a regulatory milestone.

It signals a chance to compete head-to-head with incumbents and reestablish itself as a leading name in the event contracts industry, now under the full supervision of US regulators.

The post Polymarket secures regulatory clearance to relaunch in the US appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Notcoin price jumps over 5% signalling a rebound, but profit-taking risks persist

  • Notcoin has broken a key resistance, sparking a 5% price rally.
  • Strong community growth and TON ecosystem support boosted optimism.
  • Profit-taking and high-beta volatility may limit near-term gains.

Notcoin (NOT) surged over 5% in the last 24 hours, breaking a month-long downtrend and attracting renewed attention from traders and the crypto community.

The token’s rebound comes amid broader altcoin optimism and strong technical signals, but experts warn that short-term profit-taking could temper gains in the coming days.

Why is the Notcoin price rising today?

The current NOT price rally appears to be driven by a combination of technical triggers, community enthusiasm, and favourable altcoin sentiment.

Notcoin recently bounced after hitting a key support at $0.00165, breaking from a month-long bearish trend.

Eyes are now on the critical resistance zone between $0.0019 and $0.002, a level that has capped the token since mid-August 2025.

Notcoin price analysis

Momentum has also been fueled by the community and the broader TON ecosystem.

Notcoin’s on-chain network boasts over 2.8 million holders, with more than $1 billion in decentralised exchange volume and $220 million already distributed to participants.

Social media activity indicates growing excitement around a potential Coinbase listing and increasing adoption within TON’s expanding Web3 infrastructure, particularly its integration with Telegram’s 900 million users.

These factors have reinforced speculative interest, as evidenced by a 24-hour trading volume representing nearly 14% of Notcoin’s market capitalisation.

Broader crypto market conditions have also supported Notcoin’s rebound.

The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index has surged 32.5% over the past month, indicating capital rotation into high-beta tokens.

This altcoin tailwind has amplified Notcoin’s sensitivity to bullish market swings, making its recent price action more pronounced compared to larger, more stable cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC).

Growing ecosystem and adoption boost optimism

Notcoin’s recent developments outside the charts have further strengthened investor sentiment.

The launch of the NotCard, a digital Visa Signature card, allows users to top up with any cryptocurrency while reinvesting 0.7% of each transaction back into $NOT, supporting buybacks and community rewards.

The card’s rollout, initially digital-only with future plans for physical Apple and Google versions, signals a push toward real-world utility and broader adoption.

Early adopters also receive bonuses, reinforcing community engagement and participation.

Social media buzz has mirrored these developments. Platforms like CoinRabbit now list $NOT as a collateral option, allowing users to unlock funds without selling their tokens.

Such initiatives underscore Notcoin’s increasing integration into the DeFi ecosystem and its potential to attract new participants seeking innovative crypto solutions.

Profit-taking risk could cap gains

Despite the positive momentum, market watchers caution that short-term profit-taking could temper the upside.

Notcoin’s sharp rebound has already triggered liquidations of $1.17 million in short positions near $0.00206, highlighting the high stakes for traders positioning for further rallies.

A failure to maintain weekly closes above $0.0021 may invite sellers looking to capture short-term gains, potentially slowing or reversing the current upward trajectory.

RISK, a crypto analyst, notes that while Notcoin (NOT) is building strong momentum after bouncing from its crucial support at $0.00165, key resistance levels sit at $0.00239, $0.00356, and $0.00564, projecting a potential 226% upside if the breakout is sustained.

However, the token remains vulnerable to broader market fluctuations, particularly as competition from newer tap-to-earn games and other high-profile altcoins could dilute investor enthusiasm.

The current setup reflects strong accumulation and bullish potential, but short-term traders should remain cautious about rapid profit-taking, especially given the token’s high beta relative to Bitcoin.

The post Notcoin price jumps over 5% signalling a rebound, but profit-taking risks persist appeared first on CoinJournal.