Dogecoin at a crossroads: whales exit, support holds, breakout looms

  • Dogecoin whales have cut holdings as market sentiment turns risk-off.
  • Project Sakura aims to shift DOGE to proof-of-stake.
  • DOGE is trading in a triangle pattern with breakout potential on the horizon.

Dogecoin (DOGE), the world’s largest meme coin, has faced growing selling pressure in recent days, although signs of resilience remain.

With major investors scaling back exposure and a bold new protocol proposal in the works, the future path of DOGE is being shaped in real time.

Whales trim holdings as sentiment weakens

Large holders of DOGE, often referred to as whales, have steadily reduced their positions over the past few weeks.

According to on-chain data, addresses holding between 10 million and 100 million coins now account for just over 16% of the total supply, down from nearly 17% in July.

addresses holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE coins

This retreat reflects a broader risk-off mood across crypto markets, where investors are choosing to de-risk amid a wave of uncertainty.

At the same time, the futures market is also signalling caution.

Open interest, which measures the total value of outstanding contracts, has fallen sharply from a July peak of $5.35 billion to around $3.54 billion.

The drop suggests traders are less willing to bet aggressively on short-term price gains, dampening the chances of an immediate recovery.

Activity on the Dogecoin network slows

On-chain data from Glassnode shows that daily active addresses have collapsed from over half a million in June to fewer than 50,000 in late August.

Daily active DOGE adresses chart

The steep decline in user activity points to fading demand for DOGE as a medium of exchange, and it has become a drag on price performance.

Despite the pullback, Dogecoin has managed to hold a key technical level near $0.21.

Analysts say this zone, backed by the 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, has become an important line of defence for bulls.

If broken, the next significant support levels lie at $0.18 and $0.16.

Project Sakura promises a shake-up

Amid these pressures, the Dogecoin Foundation has revealed Project Sakura, a protocol test that could reshape the network.

Director Timothy Stebbing described the initiative as a move to transition Dogecoin from its proof-of-work system to proof-of-stake.

The shift, he argues, would make the network more secure against 51% attacks and align with Dogecoin’s long-term ambition of becoming a true global currency.

The idea of staking has divided the community, with some viewing it as a necessary innovation while others see it as a departure from the coin’s original ethos.

If implemented, the protocol change could attract institutional support and redefine Dogecoin’s role beyond its meme coin label.

Technical picture points to an explosive move

On the charts, DOGE is trading inside a symmetrical triangle pattern near $0.22 as highlighted by crypto analyst Ali Martinez.

Resistance looms at $0.25, while the base of the triangle rests near $0.165.

This structure, which reflects weeks of consolidation, often precedes sharp moves once the price breaks through either side.

Technically speaking, consolidation rarely lasts long, meaning a breakout may be closer than many expect.

If Dogecoin holds support and breaks upward, it could target $0.44 in the near term, representing a gain of about 170%.

A failure to defend $0.21, however, would leave the door open to a slide toward the $0.18–$0.16 zone.

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XRP battles the $3 barrier amid institutional selling and triangle squeeze

  • XRP trades near $2.94 amid high volume and cautious accumulation.
  • Institutional selling and regulatory uncertainty pressure the price.
  • A symmetrical triangle hints at a potential breakout or breakdown.

XRP, currently trading at $2.94, is struggling to maintain momentum above $3 amid a mix of institutional selling and cautious accumulation by market participants.

The cryptocurrency has experienced heightened volatility over the past few days, with the 24-hour range fluctuating between $2.85 and $2.97.

Nevertheless, trading volume has remained elevated, reaching approximately $7.18 billion, reflecting active repositioning by both retail and institutional traders.

Institutional selling weighs on price

One of the main factors behind XRP’s recent downturn has been the large-scale offloading by institutional investors.

These sales have contributed to a 1.58% decline from $2.95 to $2.90 in the last 24 hours, underscoring the influence of major holders on market sentiment.

The downward pressure was exacerbated by low on-chain activity, leaving fewer buyers to absorb the selling and amplifying price swings.

Over the past week, however, XRP has gained 3.28%, suggesting that some buyers remain willing to step in at lower levels.

Spot flows show cautious accumulation

Exchange data indicates that market participants are entering positions gradually rather than aggressively selling into the downturn.

According to Coinglass data, the XRP spot netflows are at approximately $12.7 million, suggesting measured accumulation during the pullback.

XRP spot netflow

These modest inflows show that traders are positioning strategically, balancing risk with the potential for a rebound if XRP can reclaim higher levels.

Descending triangle pattern forms signalling a breakout

On the technical front, XRP is compressing within a descending symmetrical triangle, trading between $2.86 support and $3.12 resistance.

XRP price chart analysis

Bulls are defending the lower end of this range, while sellers cap price under $3.05.

The triangle pattern, evident on the four-hour and daily charts, suggests that the market is nearing a decision point.

A breakout above $3.12 could send XRP toward $3.25–$3.40, whereas a breach below $2.80 may accelerate losses to $2.74 and even $2.68, aligning with high-volume accumulation nodes.

XRP price outlook

XRP’s near-term trajectory hinges on its ability to navigate the $2.85–$3.05 compression zone.

With a dense cluster of moving averages, including the 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, spanning $3.00–$3.05, limiting upward momentum, the stakes remain high for investors seeking to gauge the token’s next move.

Until price decisively closes above these moving averages, rallies are likely to encounter selling pressure.

However, momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remain near neutral, reflecting market indecision.

Traders should closely monitor exchange flows, even as they keep an eye on the identified technical levels, as the upcoming sessions could determine whether XRP will extend its summer recovery or fall into deeper consolidation.

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UAE identified as holding $700M in Bitcoin from mining operations

  • According to blockchain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence, the United Arab Emirates holds about $700 million in Bitcoin.
  • Arkham traced the mining activity to Citadel Mining, which it said was established in Abu Dhabi in 2022.
  • Based on Arkham’s report and estimates from BitBo, the UAE ranks sixth among sovereign Bitcoin holders.

The United Arab Emirates holds about $700 million in Bitcoin, primarily accumulated from mining operations, according to blockchain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence.

In a post on X on Monday, Arkham said it had become one of the first to publicly identify the UAE government’s wallets, estimating that they contain about 6,300 Bitcoin.

The holdings were attributed to mining conducted through Citadel Mining, a company majority owned by the government-backed International Holding Company (IHC).

Arkham noted that, unlike the United States and the United Kingdom, where national Bitcoin holdings have largely come from police asset seizures, the UAE’s reserves are linked directly to mining.

Speculation around the country’s Bitcoin exposure had previously suggested much larger reserves.

Market rumors often placed the UAE’s holdings at around 420,000 Bitcoin, worth roughly $46 billion at current prices, and allegedly sourced from seizures of illicit activity.

Those estimates, if accurate, would have positioned the UAE as the largest sovereign Bitcoin holder globally.

Arkham’s findings, however, put the figure substantially lower.

Mining operations tied to royal-linked conglomerates

Arkham traced the mining activity to Citadel Mining, which it said was established in Abu Dhabi in 2022.

The firm reported that the venture was developed in collaboration with Phoenix Group, a publicly listed UAE mining company, and the IHC.

Arkham added that it corroborated the timeline of on-chain mining activity with satellite imagery showing the construction of the facility.

The company said on-chain transactions between Phoenix and Citadel also matched figures disclosed in official documents.

Based on its analysis, Arkham estimated that Citadel Mining has mined a total of 9,300 Bitcoin to date.

Citadel Mining is 85% owned by 2pointzero, a holding entity controlled by IHC.

The IHC itself is majority owned by the UAE Royal Group, a conglomerate led by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan of Abu Dhabi’s royal family, which holds a 61% stake.

How UAE compares with other nation-states

Based on Arkham’s report and estimates from BitBo, the UAE ranks sixth among sovereign Bitcoin holders.

Its reserves place it behind Bhutan, which holds 11,286 Bitcoin, and ahead of El Salvador, which holds 6,246.

The United States remains the largest holder with 198,012 Bitcoin, most of it originating from law enforcement seizures.

China follows with 194,000, mainly stemming from its 2019 crackdown on the PlusToken scam, while the UK ranks third with 61,245.

BitBo estimates that sovereign entities collectively hold about 517,000 Bitcoin, or 2.4% of the total circulating supply, with a total value exceeding $56 billion.

In the corporate sector, Michael Saylor’s firm MicroStrategy is cited as the largest institutional holder, with a treasury of 629,376 Bitcoin, representing about 2.9% of the supply.

The company continues to expand its Bitcoin reserves.

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Solana price prediction: SOL dips 10% despite treasury adoption

Key takeaways

  • SOL is down 10% as the broader crypto market experiences another massive sell-off.
  • The bearish performance comes despite Sharp Technology raising $400 million for its Solana treasury.

SOL is the worst performer in the top 10

SOL, the native coin of the Solana blockchain, is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The coin lost 10% of its value in the last 24 hours and is now trading at $187 per coin.

The bearish performance comes as the broader crypto market experienced another sell-off, with BTC dropping below $110k, while Ether dipped to the $4,400 region.

SOL’s dip also comes despite Nasdaq-listed firm Sharps Technology (STSS) raising $400 million to establish what it says could become the largest corporate digital asset treasury of Solana.

The funding received backing from some of the most active investors in digital assets, including ParaFi, Pantera, FalconX, CoinFund, and Arrington Capital. The company sold its shares at $6.50 per unit with attached warrants exercisable at $9.75. Sharps Technology plans to allocate the funds primarily toward acquiring SOL, the native token of the Solana blockchain.

Sharps Technology is not the only company stacking SOL, with SOL Strategies (HODL), DeFi Development (DFDV), and Upexi (UPXI) already heavyweights.

SOL could reclaim $200 amid market recovery

The SOL/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient thanks to Solana’s recent poor performance. The technical indicators are neutral but could soon change if either the bulls or bears take control of the market.

The RSI of 54 shows that the buyers are losing control, while the MACD lines could slip into the bearish territory if the sell-off persists. At press time, SOL is trading at $188 per coin, up from the recent low of $185.

SOL/USD 4H Chart

If the recovery continues, SOL could reclaim the resistance level at $213 over the next few hours or days. An extended bullish run would see SOL attempt to hit the $220 resistance zone.

However, the market structure is still bearish, and SOL could record further losses. If that happens, SOL could drop to the support level at $174 created on August 19. Failure to defend this level could see SOL hit the monthly low of $152.

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