Ether tops $3,800 after consolidating below $3,780; check forecast

Key takeaways

  • ETH dropped below the $3,750 mark on Monday as the broader crypto market undergoes a correction.
  • It is now trading above $3,800 despite the net outflows.

Ether bounces back above $3,800

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, lost 3% of its value on Monday and temporarily dropped below $3,750. However, it has recovered nicely and now trades above $3,800 per coin. 

The bearish performance comes amid net outflows for the cryptocurrency. According to data from July 29, Ethereum recorded a net outflow of $52.36 million from spot exchanges. 

The outflow highlights the growing Ether withdrawals this month as long-term investors take profit. However, the profit-taking hasn’t halted Ether’s performance as the coin looks set to hit the $4k psychological level soon.

Ether continues to see growing volume thanks to the ongoing NFT boom. While speaking to Coinjournal, Evan Kuhn, President of DeLorean Labs, the Web3 division of the DeLorean brand, revealed that legacy NFTs are seeing increased volumes. He stated that,

“Renewed volume around legacy NFT collections like CryptoPunks shows that digital ownership still has speculative appeal, but the more important shift is how NFTs are evolving into infrastructure. We’re seeing a transition from collectibles to utility. NFTs are now being used to manage access, automate rules, and assign roles within on-chain ecosystems.

While Ethereum’s price rebound has contributed to rising volume, the deeper story is about maturation. As NFTs become tools for real utility, they will move from novelty to necessity.”

Ether targets $4k as bulls remain in control

The ETH/USD 4-hour chart is bearish following Ether’s underperformance on Monday. However, the technical indicators on the lower timeframe have switched bullish, suggesting that buyers are regaining control.

The MACD lines have entered the positive region, indicating that the bias has switched bullish. Furthermore, the RSI of 61 shows that ETH could face buying pressure soon. If the recovery continues, Ether could break past the TLQ and resistance at $3,938 and hit the $4k psychological mark.

ETH/USD 4H chart

An extended bullish run would allow ETH to target the $4,200 level for the first time since December. The all-time high price remains $4,891, and it remains Ether’s medium-term target.

However, if the bearish trend returns, ETH could retest the low below $3,500 in the coming hours or days.

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Why did Conflux price spike 38% today?

  • Conflux price rose 38% amid multiple key integrations.
  • Bulls could push CFX price to $0.50 and target $1 in the short term.
  • Most cryptocurrencies are trading at key support levels, with Conflux set to ride on overall bullish sentiment.

Conflux (CFX) price rose 38% in 24 hours to hit highs of $0.27 and lead top gainers in early trading on July 29.

The gains came amid several strategic integrations and partnerships for Conflux, with daily volume also rising as CFX jumped to prices last seen in mid-April.

A technical outlook suggests a retest of the $0.50 level is possible as Conflux continues to attract attention as a decentralised finance and artificial intelligence ecosystem.

Conflux price: CFX gains amid major network integrations

Conflux Network’s native token has benefited from fresh upside momentum as the ecosystem sees a series of high-profile collaborations.

Both in DeFi and AI, these integrations are set to enhance the utility and market appeal of CFX.

Among the pivotal developments is the partnership with OrcaMind.AI, which brings AI-driven payment solutions to the Conflux Network.

Set to amplify upside momentum is the announcement that Conflux Network has joined forces with Fufuture, a decentralised perpetuals platform, a move set to integrate advanced trading capabilities and expand CFX adoption.

These efforts add to recent momentum fueled by Conflux’s partnership with AnchorX and Eastcompeace Technology to unveil an offshore yuan-pegged stablecoin.

“We have joined forces with AnchorX and Eastcompeace Technology for offshore RMB stablecoin (AxCNH) projects, cross-border settlement, and RWA initiatives across Belt and Road countries,” Conflux posted on X.

Also crucial is Conflux’s mainnet upgrade, with transactions boost adding to scalability as the network looks to expand its footprint across real-world assets tokenisation and cross-border payments.

Support in China is a major factor for CFX.

CFX price outlook

Bullish sentiment has indeed catalysed a 34% uptick this past week and over 250% in the past month.

However, Conflux price remains well off the all-time high of $1.70 reached in 2021.

Conflux price chart by CoinMarketCap

What’s next for CFX is therefore a key sentiment factor for analysts and investors, who might look at the 24-hour spike of 38% and 250% in 30 days as a pointer to where prices might go next.

The integrations and partnerships could drive more gains, albeit with market volatility and the overall crypto outlook a significant consideration.

But should the network continue to leverage AI integration and cross-chain capabilities, a bounce in altcoins will solidify CFX’s upward potential.

A breakout to $0.50 in the short term will allow bulls to target $1 and higher. Meanwhile, a downward flip may bring $0.20 and 0.15 into play as support levels.

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Bitcoin consolidates below $120K; Analysts say Ethereum flows will guide next market move

  • The crypto rally has stalled, with Bitcoin struggling to challenge the $120K level as institutional investors take profit.
  • Institutional ETF inflows into Bitcoin have plunged by 80% this week to just $496 million, a sign of cooling demand.
  • Market focus is now shifting to Ether (ETH), with its capital flows seen as the key to the market’s next move.

The powerful cryptocurrency rally is showing signs of fatigue, with Bitcoin struggling to challenge the $120,000 mark and key indicators pointing to a significant pullback from institutional investors.

As the market enters a tense consolidation phase, observers say the focus is now shifting to Ether (ETH) and whether it has the strength to bring fresh capital back into the fold and reignite the bullish momentum.

After briefly touching new all-time highs last week, the crypto market has entered a period of consolidation, and the underlying data is revealing some cracks in the bullish facade.

Glassnode data highlights a dramatic cooling of institutional interest, with inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs plunging by a staggering 80% this week to just $496 million.

This was accompanied by a sharp decline in ETF trading volume, which fell to $18.7 billion.

Bitcoin’s spot market sentiment is also showing signs of weakening.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a popular technical indicator used to measure whether an asset is overbought or oversold—has been retreating sharply, underscoring a move away from previously overbought levels.

Taken together, these signals point to a clear, albeit perhaps temporary, institutional withdrawal from the market, raising questions about the potential for further downside.

A tense derivatives market: hedging and profit-taking on the rise

Trading firm QCP Capital has noted similar tensions in the derivatives market.

While funding rates for perpetual futures remain elevated at above 15%, suggesting that some traders are still maintaining aggressive long positions, recent flows indicate that large, sophisticated players are actively taking profits and hedging against potential downside.

QCP, in its recent note, pointed out that a major ETH call fly (a complex options strategy) was recently unwound, while sizeable BTC put options were bought for protection.

This is not the kind of market activity that typically supports a fresh leg up in a rally.

Despite these cautionary signals, QCP remains broadly constructive on the market’s outlook.

“Momentum, narrative strength, and macro tailwinds are still on our side,” the firm wrote in a recent update. “Hodlers and institutions will likely buy the dip, as we saw on Friday.”

The Ethereum litmus test: consolidation, capitulation, or the next leg up?

Market maker Enflux, however, isn’t sounding the alarm just yet. The firm views the current market conditions as a period of healthy consolidation, not a sign of impending capitulation.

They note that spot and perpetual futures markets are essentially treading water, not bleeding out.

The key to what comes next, according to Enflux, lies with Ethereum.

“How institutional ETH flows evolve, and whether capital re-engages with alts, would likely guide the next leg of market structure,” the firm said in a note to CoinDesk.

Ethereum now finds itself at the center of these diverging perspectives.

If institutional investors, who have been stepping back from Bitcoin, decide to rotate their capital back into the crypto market through ETH, it could reignite the altcoin cycle and lift the entire market.

If not, this period of consolidation could harden into something more prolonged and painful.

For now, the rally has paused. Glassnode sees fragility in the current market structure. Enflux sees neutrality. QCP sees a hedged optimism.

But all seem to agree that the next major breakout—or breakdown—will likely be sparked by how capital flows into and out of Ethereum materialize in the coming days and weeks.

Broader market snapshot

  • BTC: Bitcoin is trading at $118,000, consolidating between channel support at $114,000 and resistance near its all-time high of $123,000.

  • A recent liquidity sweep below $116,000 and renewed supply from a reactivated whale wallet have stalled its bullish momentum, according to CoinDesk’s market insights bot.

  • ETH: Ethereum is trading at $3,783, holding a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that technically targets the $4,300 level.

  • However, neutral funding rates near multi-year resistance suggest trader caution, even as institutional accumulation continues.

  • Gold: Gold fell to a near three-week low, with spot prices down 0.7% to $3,313.57.

  • A recent US-EU trade deal has boosted risk sentiment and temporarily reduced the demand for safe-haven assets ahead of a busy week for corporate earnings and a key US Federal Reserve meeting.

  • Nikkei 225: Asian markets opened lower, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 0.61% as traders adopted a wait-and-see mode to determine if more regional trade deals can be struck.

  • S&P 500: The S&P 500 ended Monday’s session nearly flat, as the positive news of a US-EU trade deal failed to ignite a significant new rally in U.S. equities.

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