Bitcoin trades over $101.5K; analysts eye $120K amid corporate accumulation

  • Bitcoin trades above $101.5K in Asia, showing resilience despite new U.S. tariff uncertainties.
  • Analysts see continued bull market, with Polymarket traders pricing a 69% chance of BTC hitting $120K by year-end.
  • Pythagoras Investments’ Gabeljic notes BTC’s lower volatility compared to other digital assets amid tariff news.

Bitcoin (BTC) commenced the Asian trading day holding steady above the $101,500 mark, demonstrating resilience in the face of fresh tariff-related uncertainties emanating from the Trump administration.

While near-term volatility remains a factor, market analysts and traders appear increasingly focused on a sustained bull market through the remainder of the year, with a significant degree of confidence that Bitcoin will reach or surpass the $120,000 level, underpinned by persistent corporate buying and a notable decline in overall market volatility.

The current market environment is characterized by a degree of caution, as unexpected tariff increases announced by the Trump administration have introduced some choppiness.

“The uncertainty from unexpected tariff increases by the Trump administration is causing some volatility,” Semir Gabeljic, director of capital formation at Pythagoras Investments, acknowledged in an email to CoinDesk.

However, he emphasized Bitcoin’s relative stability amidst these pressures: “However, bitcoin remains relatively strong, with lower volatility compared to other digital assets.”

This underlying strength is further supported by a persistently bullish sentiment among institutional players.

Gabeljic highlighted this by noting that traders on the prediction market platform Polymarket are “pricing in a 69% probability that Bitcoin will hit at least $120,000 by year-end.”

This indicates a strong conviction in Bitcoin’s continued upward trajectory, despite any intermittent market headwinds.

Echoing this optimistic outlook, FlowDesk, a Paris-based market maker, shared a similar sentiment in a recent note on Telegram, even amidst recently subdued market conditions.

“The market is clearly coiling, waiting to break out of a narrow band just below all-time highs,” FlowDesk wrote in their market update note.

They also observed a “significant repositioning and rotation from Bitcoin towards altcoins,” but crucially added that “BTC’s underlying strength remains evident.”

FlowDesk also pointed to some signs of cautious market behavior, such as a modest decline in BTC funding rates on major exchanges like Binance, which typically suggests a reduction in the use of leverage by traders.

However, on-chain borrowing activity has reportedly seen renewed vigor, a potential leading indicator that some market participants are anticipating an imminent breakout.

The unwavering trend of Bitcoin accumulation

A powerful and enduring narrative bolstering the bullish case for Bitcoin is the continued and accelerating accumulation of BTC by corporate treasuries.

Listed companies now reportedly hold approximately 809,100 BTC, an amount valued at nearly $85 billion. This figure represents a near doubling of corporate Bitcoin holdings compared to a year ago.

This significant uptake is being driven by a combination of factors, including favorable regulatory shifts and recent accounting changes that now allow companies to recognize gains on their Bitcoin holdings more readily.

This trend of corporate adoption underscores a fundamental belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition and its utility as a treasury reserve asset.

“The expectation of a continued strong bitcoin remains,” Gabeljic affirmed, suggesting that this institutional and corporate buying pressure is a key pillar supporting the market’s current strength and future potential.

As Bitcoin consolidates and traders navigate short-term uncertainties, the underlying accumulation by larger entities provides a strong foundation for continued optimism.

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Over 60% of Pump.fun wallets lost money: report

  • 1,700 wallets lost more than $100,000; only 311 gained over $1 million.
  • UK banned the site in 2024; a lawsuit was filed against it in January 2025.
  • Pump.fun plans to raise $1 billion through the upcoming PUMP token launch.

Pump.fun, the Solana-based meme coin launchpad, is facing scrutiny as new data reveals that more than half of participating wallets have suffered losses.

According to a Dune Analytics report cited by BeInCrypto, at least 60% of wallet addresses that interacted with Pump.fun over the past six months ended up posting losses.

The findings come just ahead of Pump.fun’s highly anticipated $1 billion PUMP token launch.

While the event has fueled significant buzz, it has also coincided with fresh selling pressure on Solana (SOL), the ecosystem’s base chain.

Millions lost, few gain as profit disparity widens

Of the 4.257 million wallets that traded more than 10 tokens on Pump.fun, 2.4 million (56.6%) registered cumulative losses between $0 and $1,000.

Nearly 1,700 addresses lost more than $100,000, and 46 wallets suffered losses in excess of $1 million.

By comparison, only about 5,000 addresses made over $100,000 in gains, and a mere 311 wallets reported profits above $1 million.

A breakdown of May 2025 profit-and-loss data shared by crypto analyst Miles Deutscher on X revealed that over 51% of wallets lost more than $500.

Just five wallets (0.0015%) earned between $50,000 and $100,000, underscoring the sharp imbalance in wealth generation across the platform.

Most profitable wallets gained only modestly, with 916,500 wallets earning between $0 and $1,000, further challenging claims of accessible wealth creation.

Trading bots, scams, and retail risk dominate platform activity

Pump.fun was initially positioned as an easy-to-use platform where anyone could launch a meme token on Solana for less than $2.

However, recent data casts doubt on its fairness and transparency.

Solidus Labs research cited in the same report found that 98% of tokens launched on Pump.fun showed signs of fraudulent activity or lacked real liquidity. Just 1.4% of tokens had active, verifiable markets.

With so few functioning tokens, analysts question whether Pump.fun is advancing DeFi adoption or simply enabling low-cost scams under the guise of community-driven decentralisation.

Pump.fun’s past regulatory issues have also resurfaced. The site was banned in the UK in 2024, and it is currently facing a lawsuit filed in January 2025.

The legal case, still ongoing, has amplified caution among both institutional and retail investors, particularly as the platform prepares for its high-profile token launch.

Solana hit by selloff ahead of $1B token sale

As the PUMP token prepares to go live, market participants are already reacting.

The launch aims to raise $1 billion through a community-distributed token model. However, the growing anticipation is triggering rotation away from Solana’s native token.

Traders are reallocating capital to speculate on the PUMP launch, causing downward pressure on SOL in recent weeks.

Deutscher noted in a separate post that this capital shift reflects how investors previously used SOL as a proxy for Pump.fun’s fee generation.

Now, with a direct token offering in place, SOL is no longer necessary as an intermediary asset.

This shift could weaken Solana’s near-term liquidity profile and complicate the network’s broader decentralised finance strategy.

Despite being a breakout player during the early 2025 meme coin rally, Pump.fun’s trajectory is now marked by significant risk.

The narrative of financial democratisation is undercut by hard data, which shows that 312,191 wallets — or 95.6% — either broke even or lost money.

Whether the PUMP token can reverse sentiment remains unclear, especially with regulatory and reputational clouds looming overhead.

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