XRP läuft in 2025 bis dato seitwärts, während andere Top 10 Coins verlieren. Nun bricht die Aktivität auf dem Ledger ein. Droht ein neuer XRP-Crash?
Binance-Mitbegründer CZ berät Kirgisistan: Bitcoin (BTC) und BNB für Krypto-Reserve
Kirgisistan hat eine Absichtserklärung mit Binance unterzeichnet, um Binance Pay in dem Land einzuführen.
Bitcoin traders brace for FOMC meeting as volatility looms
- FOMC expected to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50%, CME tool shows 95.6% odds.
- Swissblock flags $97K–$98.5K as key resistance zone.
- Powell’s comments could tilt Bitcoin towards breakout or correction.
Bitcoin is trading just below $94,000 as investors prepare for Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference.
Source: CoinMarketCap
The Fed is widely expected to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25%–4.50%, with CME FedWatch Tool data showing a 95.6% probability of a rate hold.
Despite this consensus, traders are bracing for volatility triggered by Powell’s comments on the economic outlook, inflation, and rate trajectory, which could sway risk sentiment across digital assets.
Market participants are especially focused on forward guidance, as recent economic data and geopolitical tensions have clouded expectations for rate cuts later this year.
Trading volume dips, ETF inflows slow ahead of Fed event
Bitcoin’s recent sideways movement reflects a cautious market mood.
ETF inflows have cooled, and leverage appears to be winding down as traders await clarity.
Analysts at Swissblock describe the environment as a “battle of resistance” and note that high open interest and negative funding rates point to intensified bearish bets.
They flag the $97,000–$98,500 range as a critical resistance zone.
A break above could trigger short liquidations, but a failed rally might trap bullish traders if momentum fades.
Liquidation data also supports this tension. As price hovers within a tight range, derivatives traders appear to be betting on a volatile move in either direction.
Risk appetite has cooled, but significant positioning remains open, suggesting market participants are preparing for a breakout or breakdown, depending on Powell’s tone.
Powell’s guidance could determine market direction
While no change in rates is expected this week, traders are looking for hints on the Fed’s stance for June and beyond.
In previous meetings, Powell’s words have caused major swings in crypto markets.
December 2023 saw a hawkish turn that led to a broad sell-off in risk assets, and some fear that a repeat could materialise if Powell signals further tightening or ignores recent signs of economic slowdown.
Market sentiment has been dampened by soft GDP data and renewed trade tensions with China.
The impact of President Donald Trump’s recent tariff rhetoric has raised concerns that rate cuts previously expected in June may now be delayed.
Veteran trader Mathew Dixon noted that expectations for a June cut have already flipped to a hold, further pressuring sentiment.
Gold’s recent rally is also seen as a sign of risk-off positioning. According to analysts, this suggests investors are hedging against potential shocks from the Fed’s announcement.
Bitcoin price action hinges on macro signals
Bitcoin is currently consolidating near local support as traders weigh macroeconomic uncertainty.
Degens, or high-risk crypto traders, are reportedly building long positions, anticipating a price move.
However, some analysts warn that market makers may push prices lower to trigger stop losses before a potential upside.
Swissblock’s analysis supports this view, suggesting that any breakout could be preceded by a final liquidity sweep.
Historical data offers mixed signals. Three of the last five FOMC announcements have coincided with Bitcoin rallies, but this week’s event is clouded by more complex macro conditions.
The unresolved US-China tensions, weaker consumer demand, and political pressure around inflation all weigh heavily on market sentiment.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has previously argued that a shift back to quantitative easing could ignite a parabolic Bitcoin rally.
But in the absence of dovish signals, Bitcoin could retest recent lows in a sharp pullback.
With no clear catalyst either way, the market remains delicately balanced, awaiting Powell’s next move.
The post Bitcoin traders brace for FOMC meeting as volatility looms appeared first on CoinJournal.
Which way for Ethereum (ETH) price with the Pectra upgrade
- Whales have increased Ethereum (ETH) holdings from 15.5M to 19M ahead of Pectra.
- Pectra upgrade will enable account abstraction, validator scaling, and 2× blob capacity.
- ETH price currently faces key resistance at $1,855 and support at $1,755.
Ethereum network stands on the brink of its transformative Pectra upgrade with mere hours to go, and ETH traders and HODLers alike are scanning on-chain and technical indicators for clues to the next directional move.
Ethereum whale accumulation signals conviction
As the Pectra upgrade approaches, Ethereum’s largest stakeholders, holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH, have quietly increased their reserves even as prices hovered near $1,800, reflecting a deliberate accumulation phase.
These addresses rose from 4,643 wallets in early December to 4,953 wallets today, underscoring a notable surge in cold-hard conviction amid unrealised losses.
On-chain data from Glassnode illustrates that these whales aren’t merely sitting on the sidelines but are actively stacking ETH in anticipation of the upgrade’s outcomes.
The steady climb in whale-held supply from 15.5 million ETH in March to 19.0 million ETH in early May emphasises their readiness to absorb any post-upgrade volatility.
Exchange reserves have oscillated between 19.1 and 19.8 million ETH through April, revealing an uneasy tug-of-war between selling pressure and accumulation tendencies.
Since November, there has been an uptick in the Estimated Leverage Ratio, indicating futures traders are positioning for a volatility event that traders often call a liquidity squeeze.
Should HODLers offload at cost-basis thresholds above $2,000, that same leverage could exacerbate downside spirals, turning the upgrade into a catalyst for correction.
Conversely, a sustained decline in exchange reserves after the fork would signal broad confidence and reduce systemic liquidity risks.
With Coinbase and other major exchanges pausing ETH deposits and withdrawals during the upgrade window, market access will briefly tighten, potentially amplifying moves.
Traders must therefore weigh the upside from fee savings and improved scalability against the risk of temporary network congestion or unforeseen protocol bugs.
Historical precedent shows that major forks can produce sharp, short-lived spikes in implied volatility, and Pectra’s scale makes it one of the most significant since the Merge.
Ultimately, whether Ethereum surges toward the $2,000 mark or retests the sub-$1,700 zone hinges on how swiftly the network re-stabilises post-upgrade.
ETH price analysis ahead of Pectra upgrade
Ether’s price action has formed a tight consolidation range between $1,755 and $1,855, with the 100 and 200 EMA lines converging toward a bullish crossover.
This compression of moving averages and narrowing Bollinger Bands signals the potential for a decisive breakout or breakdown once the Pectra code merges.
Hourly charts show the MACD teetering in the bearish zone even as RSI sits just below the neutral 50 line, suggesting momentum remains finely balanced.
Meanwhile, supply and demand zones tracked by IntoTheBlock reveal a heavier resistance wall between $1,805 and $1,857—holding nearly 5.85 million ETH—than the support zone below.
The promise and pitfalls of Pectra
By doubling blob capacity per block from three to six, Pectra promises significant relief for Layer-2 rollups and lower transaction fees for on-chain users.
With EIP-7702 paving the way for account abstraction, Ethereum wallets will gain features like gas fee sponsorship and transaction batching that could broaden mainstream adoption.
In addition, EIP-7251’s validator consolidation, raising the stake limit from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH, offers institutional actors a more efficient entry point, yet raises centralisation concerns.
The transition toward the EVM Object Format marks a subtle but critical enhancement to contract execution efficiency that will lay the groundwork for future protocol improvements.
As the clock ticks down to the Pectra activation slot on May 7, Ethereum’s fate lies in the delicate interaction of on-chain fundamentals, technical momentum, and network health.
Should whales, HODLers, and institutions remain steadfast, the upgrade could light the fuse for a sustained rally, fulfilling long-awaited expectations.
If, however, the price fails to clear key resistance or if reserves swell again, traders may interpret Pectra as a hype cycle rather than a structural catalyst.
The post Which way for Ethereum (ETH) price with the Pectra upgrade appeared first on CoinJournal.
Krypto-ETPs verzeichnen 2 Mrd. US-Dollar Zuflüsse
Krypto-ETPs verzeichneten in der vergangenen Woche Zuflüsse in Höhe von 2 Mrd. US-Dollar, wobei Bitcoin diese Gewinne anführte und BlackRock den Großteil davon ausmachte.