Bitcoin price forecast ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting

  • Bitcoin finds resistance at $30k
  • The neckline of a head and shoulders pattern provides support
  • The realized HODL ratio suggests investors may buy the dip

The main event of the trading day is the Federal Reserve meeting. Most market participants expect the Fed to hike the interest rate by another 25bp, but the key would be how it communicates its decision. 

A dovish rhetoric should be bearish for the US dollar and bullish for Bitcoin, whereas a hawkish one would weigh on Bitcoin as the dollar would rally. 

Ahead of the Fed’s decision, Bitcoin struggles at $30k. It found it difficult to overcome horizontal resistance, and it formed a possible head and shoulders pattern. 

While incomplete, it may lead to further weakness should the price drop below the pattern’s neckline. In such a case, buyers are likely to emerge in the $24k area, where previous resistance may provide support. 

Bitcoin chart by TradingView

The realized HODL ratio for Bitcoin favors buying future dips

Also called the RHODL ratio, it has a simple interpretation. The market was overheating whenever the ratio reached the red band, meaning that the bullish cycle was ending. 

Conversely, the bearish market ends whenever it reaches the green band and a bullish cycle should start. Bitcoin rallied at the beginning of 2023 as the RHODL ratio indicated the end of the bearish market. 

Hence, any dip as a result of today’s Federal Reserve decision should be bought as RHODL has a lot of room until reaching the red area.

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AltSignals (ASI) token could thrive as the US banking crisis escalates

  • The Federal Reserve will conclude its two-day meeting on Wednesday.

  • It comes as the US economy faces significant risks, including the collapse of regional banks.

  • These events could be good catalysts for AltSignals (ASI).

The American economy is facing significant headwinds, which are helping Cryptocurrency prices are holding quite well as investors continue worrying about the American economy. As a result, Bitcoin has emerged as a safe haven as it sits close to its year-to-date high. Other coins like Ethereum, Litecoin, and Jasmy have done well. Similarly, investors are investing in token sales like AltSignals (ASI) in their hunt for the next big thing.

Risks to the American economy

The American economy is facing significant risks as it adjusts to the new normal of high-interest rates. Most of these challenges are all interrelated. The biggest risk to the economy is the banking sector, which has come under intense strain recently. On Monday, the FDIC seized First Republic Bank and then sold it to JP Morgan, the biggest bank in the country.

There are concerns that more banks could collapse in the coming months. On Tuesday, PacWest stock price plunged by more than 30%, meaning that it has fallen by over 70% in the past two months. Western Alliance and M&T Bank have all retreated. This is a sign that investors expect the banks to collapse soon.

The other risk is on the commercial real estate industry that is on the verge of collapse. The industry is dealing with high-interest rates, low occupancy rates, and upcoming debt maturities. Some of the worst-affected cities are San Francisco and New York. A collapse of these companies could also have an impact on the banking sector.

Meanwhile, there is also risk to a credit default in the US as Democrats and Republicans differ on raising the debt ceiling. In a warning this week, Janet Yellen said that the US government could run out of money on June 1. The US is also facing significant inflation risks.

Cryptocurrencies as a safe haven

Therefore, these challenges are good for cryptocurrencies for two main reasons. First, investors believe that Bitcoin is a safe haven, which is equivalent to a digital gold. This explains why Bitcoin has outperformed the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices this year. eGold has also done well as it sits closer to its all-time high. 

Second, these risks means that the Federal Reserve will likely go slow in its hiking path. Analysts expect that the Fed will start pivoting as soon as on Wednesday of this week. This pivot could mean pausing on rate hikes or delivering a rate hike and pointing to a pause. This pivot will be a positive thing for Bitcoin. Bitcoin tends to have a positive correlation with other altcoins like Ethereum and Solana. 

If this works out well, it means that Bitcoin could continue rising in the coming months. In a recent note, analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence and Standard Chartered said that Bitcoin could jump to over $100k in the next few months. A Standard Chartered analyst wrote:

“Against this backdrop, bitcoin has benefited from its status as a branded safe haven, a perceived relative store of value and a means of remittance. While BTC can trade well when risky assets suffer, correlations to the Nasdaq suggest that it should trade better if risky assets improve broadly.”

Implications for AltSignals

The implications of these Bitcoin bullish calls are positive for AltSignals (ASI) and other altcoins. For starters, AltSignals is a profitable company that provides signals to traders from around the world. Presently, the platform uses manual approaches like indicators to provide these trading signals. 

As part of their growth strategy, the developers hope to use both blockchain and artificial intelligence to provide the services. The blockchain section will be powered by the ASI token, which will be used for payments and governance.,

The AltSignals token sale has done well in the past few months. Developers have already raised $676k from investors in the first stage of the sale. One ASI is selling for about $0.015 and the amount is expected to jump in the second stage of the token sale.

Historically, cryptocurrencies tend to rally when Bitcoin is soaring. We have seen that in all the past bullish cycles. This also explains why meme coins like Pepe have soared recently, as we wrote hereASI is better than Pepe since it has utility in that it is powering a profitable platform.

Is AltSignals a good investment?

I believe that investing in AltSignals presale is a good thing because of the utility that surrounds the platform. Also, I believe that we are in the early stages of a major bull run in the crypto industry as risks to the American economy remain and as the Fed starts pivoting.

However, there are always risks when investing in presales and in the crypto industry. Therefore, you should only allocate what you can afford to lose.    You can buy the AltSignals token here.

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Litecoin creator Charlie Lee shares huge prediction for LTC price

  • Litecoin creator Charlie is bullish on the LTC price.
  • In a Twitter thread on Tuesday, Lee said he sees the cryptocurrency as having lots of potential.
  • He noted that Litecoin was fairly launched and has had over 11 years of zero downtime.

Litecoin (LTC) creator Charlie Lee says he sees the cryptocurrency as having value even as its price remains a fraction of Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneer asset that inspired what is often dubbed digital silver.

In a tweet posted early Tuesday, Lee highlighted what he says are undeniable pointers to Litecoin’s key strengths. He sees Litecoin price gaining against Bitcoin.

It’s hard to deny there is value in Litecoin, a coin that has low fees, is protocol-compatible with Bitcoin, has the same game theoretical attack surfaces as Bitcoin, is secured with its own set of ASIC miners, is fairly launched, and has 11.5 years of history with zero downtime,” Lee noted.

Charlie Lee is bullish on Litecoin price

Sharing his price outlook for LTC, Lee said he expects the digital silver to rally to new highs. He notes that the current market values Litecoin around 1% of Bitcoin, which is “accurate.” However, with “a ton of potential”, the altcoin could rally to 10% of BTC.

Lee says the cryptocurrency’s higher throughput, scalability, better fungibility and privacy are key features that could aid the coin’s price.

According to him, going to 0.0125 BTC in the next bull cycle is possible. On the downside, the LTC creator gives a Litecoin price prediction of 0.0025 LTC/BTC.

Litecoin traded at around $89 on Tuesday 2 May 2023, roughly 2% up on the day against the US dollar. Meanwhile, it was changing hands at 0.00307886 BTC, with the LTC/BTC pair just 0.1% in the green. 

While Litecoin price reached its all-time high above $410 in May 2021, its gains paled in comparison to Bitcoin’s rally to its all-time peak above $69,000.

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Coinbase unveils a global crypto exchange as crypto crackdown in the US intensifies

  • Coinbase is a US-based crypto exchange.
  • The move comes amid a growing regulatory crackdown in the US for the cryptocurrency industry.
  • The new arm will allow users to trade perpetual futures, with initial contracts offering 5x leverage.

Coinbase, a leading cryptocurrency exchange in the United States, has launched an international cryptocurrency exchange as a response to the increasing crypto regulatory crackdown in the US.

The move is part of the exchange’s strategy to execute “the next chapter of the company’s Go Deep, Go Broad global expansion strategy.”

Eyeing the global market

The Coinbase International Exchange will allow institutional users from eligible jurisdictions outside the US to trade perpetual futures.

In 2022, perpetual futures accounted for about 75% of global cryptocurrency trading. They created highly-liquid markets and offered traders additional versatility in their crypto trading strategies.

Coinbase in a blog post stated:

“Building out a global perpetual futures exchange for digital assets will help support an updating of the financial system by making Coinbase’s trusted products and services more accessible to users of digital assets who live outside of the US. As more and more markets are moving forward with regulatory frameworks to become crypto hubs, we believe the moment is right to launch this international exchange.”

Currently, the Coinbase International Exchange has listed Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) perpetual futures contracts. The listed contracts initially offer up to 5x leverage.

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Bitcoin, Ether eye new move as stocks plummet on fresh bank fears

  • Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices rose nearly 2% respectively as stocks plunged.
  • The S&P 500 was down 1.5% as two bank stocks plummeted.
  • BTC and ETH gains saw altcoins in the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap up.

Bitcoin (BTC) price moved above $28,500 again on Tuesday, rising more than 2% in early morning trades during the US trading session. The upside was yet another attempt by Bitcoin bulls to establish a fresj footing in the key price range.

Elsewhere, the price of Ethereum (ETH) rose above $1,860 to hit a new 24-hour high as crypto spot markets climbed. The Ether token was 1.9% up at the time of writing, gains that were being mirrored across the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap list.

BTC and ETH have traded to year-to-date highs above $31,000 and $2,100 respectively.

Stocks tank on bank fears

US stocks opened lower on Tuesday as stock prices of another two US banks plunged amid the latest turmoil in the banking sector. The S&P 500 was down 1.5% while Nasdaq was shedding 1.3%.

After share prices of First Republic Bank fell in the lead up to its takeover by JPMorgan, Tuesday saw prices of Pacwest (PACW) and Western Alliance (WAL) stocks bleed massively.

At about 12:30 pm ET, the PACW and WAL share prices were down 26% and 20% respectively.

The two bank stocks had plummeted more than 30% earlier as investor concerns around the turbulence within the US banking system resurfaced following the losses that followed the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Also on investors’ minds this week is the Fed’s meeting that kicked off on Tuesday. While the market has the anticipated 25bps interest rate hike baked in for after the FMC meeting, what the central bank says in relation to what next is seen as key.

Economist Mohamed A. El-Erian, commented on the market outlook, stating via a tweet:

The roller coaster continues with, this time around, a 20 bps drop in the yield on 2-year Treasuries.  With such a key market segment continuing to be in urgent need of stabilization, it remains to be seen if the Fed serves this function tomorrow or, instead, is again a source of volatility.”

Barry Knapp of Ironsides Macroeconomics says the Fed’s approach to the inflation question is fraught and dubious. The central bank has to consider what the market is telling it. He shared his views in an interview with CNBC’s Squawk Box.

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