Ethereum price prediction as a bearish pennant forms

Ethereum price remained under intense pressure on Wednesday as the crypto industry dealt with the FTX fallout. ETH was trading at $1,216, which was lower than this week’s high of $1,290. The price is about 13% above the lowest level this month.

Is ETH bottoming

The biggest cryptocurrency news this month has been the fallout of FTX, the second-biggest exchange in the world. Its collapse was the biggest one since 2014 when Mt.Gox went out of business, leading to millions in losses.

Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies have seen their prices crash amid rising contagion risks. Historically, the prices of most assets tend to decline when a major associated asset collapses. For example, banking stocks crashed hard in 2009 after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Ethereum price pulled back as demand for cryptocurrencies has waned. The number of people investing in cryptocurrencies has crashed while outflows from exchanges have grown.

The same is true with other associated industries. For example, the total value locked in Ethereum’s DeFi network has dropped from more than $150 billion in 2021 to about $40 billion. Most lending and decentralized exchanges have seen significant outflows.

The same is true for the Non-Fungible Token (NFT) industry. Recent data shows that the volume of transactions in the industry has declined. Some analysts believe that the bubble in NFTs is bursting as many investors struggle to exit.

Still, there is a silver lining in FTX’s crash. First, because of its magnitude of the clash, there will be new regulations to weed out the bad apples in the crypto industry. This is in line with how the US responded to the collapse of Lehman Brothers. 

Second, for Ethereum, it could lead to more demand for decentralized exchanges (DEX). Analysts believe that DEXes like Uniswap and dYdX are safer than their centralized peers.

Ethereum price prediction

The chart below shows that the ETH price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few days. Along the way, the coin has formed a bearish pennant pattern that is shown in black. Historically, a bearish pennant pattern is usually a bearish sign. It has also moved slightly below the 25-day and 50-day moving averages. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that Ethereum price will soon have a bearish breakout as sellers target the key support at $1,100.

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The Australian Securities and Investments Commission suspends FTX Australia’s licence

Crypto exchange FTX has lost its Australian licence a few days after it collapsed and filed for bankruptcy.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), announced on Wednesday, November 16th, that it had suspended the licence issued to FTX Australia, the Australian arm of the FTX exchange.

In its blog post, the ASIC said;

“ASIC has suspended the Australian financial services licence of FTX Australia Pty Ltd (AFS licence 323193) until 15 May 2023 after it was placed into voluntary administration on 11 November 2022. Until 19 December 2022, FTX Australia can continue to provide limited financial services that relate to the termination of existing derivatives with clients.”

Prior to its suspension, FTX Australia’s AFS license allowed it to create a market for derivatives and foreign exchange contracts for Australian-based retail and institutional clients. 

The suspension came a few days after John Mouawad, Scott Langdon and Rahul Goyal of KordaMentha were appointed as voluntary administrators of FTX Australia and its subsidiary FTX Express Pty Ltd, which operates a digital currency exchange that is not regulated by ASIC.

ASIC added that it is monitoring this situation closely and speaking regularly with international regulators and external administrators.

FTX currently risks losing its licence in Europe following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange. Last week, Bloomberg reported that the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) could seize FTX’s European licence.

The licence allowed FTX to operate in Europe and provide its services to customers all over the continent. 

These latest developments began to unfold after FTX collapsed and filed for bankruptcy last week. The cryptocurrency exchange was reportedly using customers’ funds to fund Alameda Research, its sister hedge fund.

The move was against FTX’s terms and conditions and sparked a series of events that saw the once mighty crypto exchange crumble to its knees. The events that unfolded also saw CEO Sam Bankman-Fried resign from his role.

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