Solana price movement amid 6% bear run

Solana (SOL/USD) succumbed to the bear cryptocurrency market on Thursday. On CoinMarketCap, SOL was trading with an intraday loss of 6.63% and a weekly 14% drop. 

Solana’s price hit the lowest since June.

Solana trades at $28.9, the lowest price since mid-June. Thursday’s bear momentum in Solana happens amid an inflation report. According to the Labour Department, inflation rose by a yearly 8.2%. The rate surpassed estimates, raising fears that the Fed could hike rates faster in its upcoming meetings. 

Nonetheless, ahead of the inflation report, SOL was already in a sustained bear market. Frequent network outages have largely been responsible. The latest was the Solana DeFi protocol, Mango Market, which lost $100 million in an attack. The drain caused a 23% decline in the total value locked on the Solana blockchain.

How is SOL’s outlook in a bear market amid the weak fundamentals?

Solana price: Where next for SOL as the price declines?

The macro concerns dent the outlook for SOL. Attention is shifting to the US Federal Reserve’s action to tame the rising prices. Analysts earmark a 75-basis point rate hike in November after the higher-than-feared inflation numbers. That aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s thoughts after the Thursday report.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva urged the US to use the tools available to control prices. She warned of damaging and spillover impacts if the US doesn’t act. In Europe, ECB’s Governing Council member Joachim Nagel has called for robust rate increases to tame rising prices. 

Looking at SOL in the broader spectrum of the crypto market, the price could remain bearish in line with the Fed’s expectations. In fact, the crypto billionaire forecasts the crypto bear market to last up to six months. He expects a bull run to occur once the Fed pauses the economic tightening. With the possibility far from reality, a bear market could continue, with pockets of bull short runs.

Solana technical analysis

Technically, SOL has been making lower lows and lower highs since hitting a local top at $48. However, the bulls defended the $30 level, resulting in the formation of a double bottom. The buyer strength was still weak as the price remained largely in consolidation mode. The Thursday drop raises questions about whether a further fall is on the card.

Source – TradingView

At $28.9, SOL has lost the support level, which pits the token back to $26. Currently, sellers have the upper hand as sentiment is bearish. The MACD indicator shows a weakening momentum as the moving averages offer resistance above. In our assessment, SOL could still overcome a drop to $26.

While there is a clear break below $30, the daily candlestick is yet to make a close. A potential scenario to invalidate a drop to $26 is when the price closes above the open at or above $30. In such a case, a bullish pin bar would communicate that buyers remain interested in $30. Conversely, if sellers win and the daily candlestick closes below $30, the price could reach the June lows.

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Cardano relinquishes support to a fresh new low. What’s the outlook?

Cardano (ADA/USD) has tanked 7% in the past day to a record low of $0.03612. On the weekly scale, the price represents a 16% dip. In general, the overall crypto market is looking bleak. Bitcoin has lost $19k support, trading at $18,357, while Ether is 6% down to $1,215.

Last week, ADA was locked in a descending triangle, with analysts predicting a price under $0.25. Can the crypto survive the bear onslaught? The current market sell-off is anticipated to extend between now up to December. 

Until now, ADA price has failed to benefit from major Cardano fundamentals. The smart contract network successfully deployed Vasil hard fork last month. According to Cardano blockchain insights, the upgrade added 100 smart contracts two weeks after the event.

Despite the optimism around the launch, ADA has remained bearish. In fact, the digital asset has lost 25% of its value in the past month alone. The fork was a major improvement since the launch of the Alonzo hard fork in 2021.

Meanwhile, data from Defillama shows that Cardano’s total value locked is equally down 8% in the past day to $64 million. However, there has been an upsurge in the daily trading volumes by 105% in the past day to $922 million.

ADA finds new support at $0.36 

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Source: TradingView

From the daily chart above, ADA looks bearish below the $0.39 support-turned resistance. In addition, the crypto is below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The momentum indicator RSI is at the lowest level of 23.

Concluding thoughts

Cardano has plunged to a new low, currently trading below key support levels. As it is, lower levels could be seen since the crypto space is currently on bearish momentum. Much as the token is at the oversold zone, it could remain so for quite a while.

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Hackers have already stolen $3 billion worth of crypto in 2022: Chainalysis

Hackers have so far stolen $718 million from DeFi protocols in October, which could yet be the biggest month for hackers, Chainalysis said in a report.

Total value hacked and the number of hackings across the decentralised finance (DeFi) ecosystem has shot up over 2022, with billions stolen in what is turning out to be the biggest year for hackers in cryptocurrency.

According to blockchain security and analytics firm Chainalysis, October has seen 11 different hacks targeting DeFi protocols. As the month reaches halfway, hackers have syphoned more than $718 million through security exploits.

After four hacks yesterday, October is now the biggest month in the biggest year ever for hacking activity, with more than half the month still to go. So far this month, $718 million has been stolen from DeFi protocols across 11 different hacks,” Chainalysis said in a report on Thursday.

Hackers now targeting DeFi protocols

The attacks have thinned across centralised exchanges, which bore the brunt of attacks in 2019. In the past two years, the attackers have shifted attention to DeFi platforms – with cross-chain bridges currently the most targeted.

Per Chainalysis, October has seen exploits at three bridges and with close to $600 million stolen from these platforms alone. The attacks account for 82% of stolen funds in the past two weeks and 64% of heist suffered in 2022.

In terms of total value hacked in 2022, October is on track to surpass March. The number of hacks has also ticked up during the month, after declining since the March 2022 explosion.

The thefts recorded in October have helped push the amounts of crypto assets towards 2021 levels, and with more than two months to go, hackers could yet hit record levels.

At this rate, 2022 will likely surpass 2021 as the biggest year for hacking on record. So far, hackers have grossed over $3 billion dollars across 125 hacks,” the analytics firm tweeted.

The latest attacks on Temple DAO for over $2.3 million in crypto tokens and another $100 million hack on Solana-based platform Mango, add to some of the biggest losses seen this year. These include the Wormhole and Ronin bridge exploits that resulted in $325 million and $625 million losses respectively.

As CoinJournal also recently highlighted, major crypto exchange Binance also recorded a cross-chain hack incident, pointing to the increased risk malicious actors pose to crypto and DeFi.

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How long can Bitcoin’s bear market last? Crypto billionaire Novogratz shares thoughts

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) sellers are largely exhausted, according to crypto billionaire Mike Novogratz. Novogratz says that after a big sell-off three months ago, most people that wanted to sell Bitcoin have done so. He notes that the BTC price has largely been muted, allowing a potential takeoff once a “good story” builds up. So, is a bullish price reversal imminent? 

Novogratz warns that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will rally once the Fed pauses policy tightening. That’s because the selloff was directly a result of interest rate hikes in recent times. Apparently, the Galaxy Digital CEO expects the Fed to pause rate hikes that will invite a crypto bull rally. However, Novogratz tells investors to expect the bear market to last up to six months. 

The comments by Novogratz come when caution is gripping crypto markets on high inflation. On Thursday, the US reported an 8.2% yearly increase in inflation for September. The gain was more than an expected 8.1%. The elevated prices raise the prospects of a 75 basis point interest rate hike by the Fed in November. The likely decision means that the Novogratz bull scenario could take longer to play out.

Bitcoin was already falling ahead of the price data and was trading at $18,342 as of press time. The price was an intraday drop of 3.87%. 

Bitcoin falls to $18,300 amid high inflation

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Source – TradingView

A technical outlook shows Bitcoin crashing below the psychological support of $19,000. A bearish MACD crossover reinforces a bearish outlook on the largest cryptocurrency. 

Should you buy Bitcoin?

$19,000 remains a crucial zone for Bitcoin buyers. Multiple bottoms have occurred at the level highlighting that bulls have defended the zone. That partly supports Novogratz’s view that the selling is over for BTC. However, BTC is not yet a buy.

The breakout candlestick should remain in our interest. A close below the $19,000 support could force BTC to a new low. However, considering the historical price patterns around the level, the daily candlestick could close higher. That would result in a bullish reversal signal and invalidate a bear view.

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