Polkadot prediction as price slides after the recent breakout

  • Polkadot’s DOT is cooling after a 20% weekly surge

  • The cryptocurrency could slide back to $8 as most cryptocurrencies correct

  • Technical indicators suggest that bullish momentum is underway

Cryptocurrencies are taking a breather after recent recoveries. Polkadot’s DOT/USD is one such cryptocurrency, although it is much of a consolidation. At press time, DOT was marginally up 1.77% in 24 hours. However, the total gains in the week are among the highest at 20.79%. Nothing prevents a correction for DOT, but we believe the price will shoot again.

It’s a quiet year for Polkadot’s DOT. The cryptocurrency topped $55 last year but now trades at merely $8.50. With recent gains, one of the key speculations is whether DOT will reclaim its former self. We find it might, but this could take a while.

DOT has already shown the enthusiasm to climb again. It happens, thanks to turning $8, the previous resistance, into support. We see the $8 level as the reference zone for buyers. A retracement is an opportunity to buy, and it’s already happening. 

Moving average crossover suggests a bullish moment for DOT

Source – TradingView

Technically, the 14-day moving average moved above the 21-day moving average for DOT. That confirmed a bullish outlook as the price surged above the $8 resistance. Another bullish indicator is the MACD. The MACD line is yet to break below the moving average since June. That suggests that buyers accumulated DOT as it bottomed at $7.98 and are still relentless.

On a technical snapshot, DOT is bullish but could correct up to $8.0. For investors who bought at the bottom price, the token is still a hold as upside potential remains. New investors can consider buying lower.

Summary

Polkadot is bullish, but a correction is imminent. Moving averages and MACD indicators support a further rise. Investors should take advantage of a potential retracement to buy the token.

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Time to sell Dogecoin as token fails breakout at key resistance level

  • Dogecoin’s bullish strength waned on weak fundamentals

  • The cryptocurrency is yet to clear $0.07 successfully 

  • DOGE risks further drop or consolidation below the resistance zone

Dogecoin’s DOGE/USD’s bullish rally has not only cooled off. Cracks are emerging that could push the token done once more. Minding that cryptocurrencies can often pull a surprise, investors would be better off selling the meme coin. This thesis explores why. 

One of the fundamental drivers of Dogecoin recently was the anticipation of growth in use cases. Investors speculated that once Doge’s father, Elon Musk, acquires Twitter, he would accept its payments. The acquisition remains in limbo. Still, no major Dogecoin announcements or influencer mentions have happened lately. 

The second factor for DOGE’s lack of bull strength is buyer exhaustion. Attempts to take Doge to $1 by Elon Musk failed terribly. At the bottom price of $0.05, DOGE attempted recoveries as other cryptocurrencies surged. As most tokens surged by double digits, the highest that DOGE hit was $0.078 at the end of June. That’s an upsurge of around 56% from the $0.05 bottom. Nevertheless, the token always crashed below the resistance at $0.07 each time it surged. The token currently trades at $0.069 as it consolidates lower.

DOGE fails another breakout at $0.07 resistance

Source – TradingView

Technically, DOGE is consolidating below the $0.07 resistance. The MACD line is close to the moving average and about to move below it. A bear case is strong as the price lacks bullish power. Investors should sell now before the price slides further. A break above the $0.07 resistance will confirm a bull case.

Concluding thoughts

Dogecoin token could turn bearish after failing to break above the resistance. The cryptocurrency is suffering from a lack of buyers. A bear pressure will push the token down, and it’s time to sell.

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FCA’s new rules on marketing of high-risk investments don’t currently apply to crypto

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), UK’s financial regulator, has announced a clampdown on the marketing of high-risk investments amid the need to make sure investors are not hoodwinked into high risk products.

The FCA’s tough stance was highlighted in a press release on Monday, in which the regulator said it had finalised its work on stronger rules on marketing and promotions in high-risk investments.

New rules don’t apply to crypto – yet

While FCA’s new regulatory guidelines provide an intervention against misleading financial promotions around high-risk investments, they do not apply to crypto.

That’s what the agency said in its release, explaining that applying these rules across cryptoasset promotions will only be considered “once the Government and Parliament confirms in legislation how crypto marketing will be brought into the FCA’s remit.”

When this happens, the regulator will announce qualifying rules on cryptoasset ads respective of the given type of asset. Generally, however, it is expected the crypto-related rules will not differ markedly from those being introduced for high-risk investments. 

FCA’s fight against misleading adverts

Under its new rules, the FCA wants all companies involved in the approval and issuance of marketing materials to have the appropriate expertise. As well, any firm engaged in the marketing of high-risk investments is obligated to conduct better checks, ensuring that targeted consumers match the intended investments.

The new rules also align with the Consumer Investments Strategy, which is intended to limit potential exposure to high-risk offerings that don’t reflect a consumer’s risk appetite. It’s an objective the regulator wants to achieve and demands that marketers provide clearer risk warnings, and which must be prominent within advert.

Notably, the use of incentives such as ‘refer a friend bonuses’, targeting investors’ connections have been banned. 

We want people to be able to invest with confidence, understand the risks involved, and get the investments that are right for them which reflect their appetite for risk,” said Sarah Pritchard, FCA’s Executive Director, Markets. 

According to the FCA, the tough rules intend to tackle “poor financial promotions” that are likely to see investors fail to appreciate the risks of investing and losses that may come with certain investment products.

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XRP’s mini breakout faces bear pressure as bullish momentum fades

  • Ripple reported a 50% jump in XRP sales in the second quarter

  • The token has pushed above a consolidation channel, but buyer power is weak

  • Investors should watch price action at $0.37

Ripple XRP/USD has seen an unprecedented demand lately. A recent report indicated that Ripple sold $409 million worth of XRP tokens in the second quarter. The sales were double that of the previous quarter. That suggested an increase in its On-Demand Liquidity service. The increase in demand could be attributed to investors’ expectations of a price surge. That relates to potential positive outcomes from the case with the SEC.

Despite the second quarter sales, XRP remained in the trenches. It held to a bottom of $0.3 up to mid-July. Ripple attributed the low price of XRP to macro issues and protocol-specific developments. Of course, notwithstanding, the SEC case could go either way.

Still, investors have been optimistic about XRP price recovery. After the price remained in a consolidation zone for nearly 2 months, it broke out on July 30. The breakout occurred after the price pierced through the $0.37 resistance. However, we see this as a mini-breakout as the token has to overcome another tackle at $0.40. That explains why bulls’ power remains weak. However, XRP remains on course for stronger gains and should be on investors’ watch list.

XRP retreats to resistance-turned support after the latest breakout

Source – TradingView

On the daily technical outlook, XRP has touched the $0.37 breakout level after the latest correction. The MACD indicators are bullish on the token, although the momentum is waning. Investors should watch $0.37 for a potential bullish reversal. If XRP breaks below the level, it could slip back to the consolidation zone once more.

Summary

XRP remains in bullish momentum, but bears are pushing the price lower. We need to watch $0.37 for a bullish reversal.

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Crypto interest falls 16% worldwide this year as bear market strikes

Key Takeaways

  • Interest in cryptocurrency, per Google data, is 16.6% lower this year compared with the 2021 average worldwide
  • Bitcoin’s price fall this year is 52.7%, while layoffs and liquidations have struck the industry too
  • Largest drop in interest is Netherlands, with a 37% decrease, followed by Ireland and New Zealand
  • Central African Republic buck the trend, with interest rocking 592% following their own government announcing Bitcoin would be legal tender in April
  • Other African countries – Morocco and Kenya – are next, with impressive jumps of 61% and 55% respectively in interest compared to last year
  • Developing nations’ crypto interest has held firmer than developed world, with many countries increasing this year despite downturn

The crypto market has turned sharply downward in 2022. Bitcoin’s price – which is no stranger to volatility – is currently 52% below the $47,700 level that it traded at on New Year’s Day. 

But it’s not just prices that have wavered. We have seen liquidations of major players as contagion has swirled – most notably the collapse of former top 10 coin Luna and the death spiral of its accompanying stablecoin UST in May, but also bankruptcy filings for crypto lenders Celsius and Voyager Digital, to name a few.  

Unfortunately, layoffs have swept the industry too. None more high profile than Coinbase, who laid off 18% of its staff (1,110 employees), only a couple months after spending millions on a SuperBowl ad. 

So we were curious – has interest fallen across the globe this year in response to the bull market hysteria coming to a close? If so, which countries’ interest in crypto has fallen the most? 

Cryptocurrency interest falls significantly in 2022

The fall in interest across the world is 16.6%, quite a stark drop. The worst nation is Netherlands, seeing a staggering 37% decrease, followed by European counterparts Ireland with a 30% dropoff, and New Zealand with a 28% fall. 

Noticeably, the USA are next with a dropoff of over 26% compared to 2021 search volume. With the US still driving such a large part of market volumes, this symbolises quite how different the market is today compared to last year, contextualising the layoffs and price collapse we have seen. 

Interestingly, the most resilient countries in terms of crypto interest are mostly developing nations – Morocco, Kenya, Sri Lanka Nigeria and Colombia all placing among the countries where interest has actually spiked. For Morocco and Kenya, the two African countries have seen jumps of 61% and 55% respectively. 

Interest over the last month has fallen even further

The bear market has really kicked into gear since May, when Terra went under, and accordingly the last few months have been brutal. In looking at falloffs in July alone as opposed to the entire 2022, the falloff is even worse. The world average shows there are 63% less searches for cryptocurrency this month compared to the 2022 average. 

New Zealand, Spain, Venezuela, and – somewhat surprisingly – USA and Canada, are all among the countries to see the greatest fall-off in interest. US searches have fallen 59%, with Canada just behind on 58%. 

El Salvador

El Salvador President Nayib Bukele often tweets his government is “buying the dip” when Bitcoin is plummeting. It appears that the citizens of his country, where Bitcoin has been legal tender since last year, are not of the same opinion. 

Per Google search trends, interest in Bitcoin fell further in July in El Salvador than any other country, compared to 2021 numbers. A drop of some form is to be expected, given the surge in searches inevitable when Bukele announced it as legal tender in 2021, however a drop of 63% is concerning and highlights both the damaging effect of the bear market and the challenges of onboarding the population to Bitcoin in El Salvador.

Taking the entire picture, interest during 2022 as a whole has fallen 17.9% compared to 2021, which is not quite as stark as the July fall of 64% – but still a large fall. 

Central African Republic

There was one nation left off the above graphs for scale purposes. And that’s because the Central African Republic blow those numbers out of the water. Interest in crypto in July-22 is up 715% in July-22 (592% for 2022 as a whole) compared to numbers in 2021. 

This is, of course, because they became the second nation to declare Bitcoin as legal tender in April. Not only that, but they went even further – announcing the tokenising of the country’s rich resources (diamonds, uranium, oil) with a newly launched cryptocurrency “Sango Coin”.

Yet among the poorest countries in the world, and with only 10% having Internet access, whether this is a prudent initiative is a tale for another day. 

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